Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 6.902272 8.029366 9.246198 10.653180 12.230640 13.940096 15.927994
2026-01-25 5.166741 6.621892 8.314839 10.413111 12.925925 15.819999 19.385459
2026-02-01 4.090717 5.662946 7.602287 10.136407 13.323124 17.158609 22.080801
2026-02-08 3.335945 4.943621 7.030371 9.882703 13.618796 18.280584 24.463123
2026-02-15 2.739045 4.327067 6.487973 9.564979 13.744573 19.127409 26.472218
2026-02-22 2.391753 3.998188 6.276219 9.635903 14.341791 20.564321 29.256078
2026-03-01 2.097016 3.700569 6.065147 9.668517 14.860265 21.891591 31.922077
2026-03-08 1.862439 3.460151 5.904283 9.743532 15.419764 23.275471 34.695348
2026-03-15 1.647555 3.220626 5.715116 9.749727 15.863303 24.498785 37.275604
2026-03-22 1.518770 3.106079 5.703986 10.013897 16.683992 26.270630 40.667565
2026-03-29 1.393542 2.980526 5.659820 10.215633 17.410797 27.924671 43.938230
2026-04-05 1.255638 2.813560 5.529238 10.264139 17.896539 29.235276 46.748489
2026-04-12 1.074579 2.543433 5.200951 9.969878 17.837826 29.746394 48.430041
2026-04-19 0.927512 2.317833 4.926710 9.740545 17.860930 30.370495 50.288258
2026-04-26 0.795900 2.103106 4.648634 9.478528 17.807386 30.862701 51.950420
2026-05-03 0.684616 1.913551 4.396488 9.238403 17.768316 31.363916 53.628212
2026-05-10 0.581556 1.724636 4.124452 8.937776 17.603463 31.649871 54.971115
2026-05-17 0.528223 1.643066 4.056287 9.004876 18.066210 32.946464 57.915096
2026-05-24 0.477184 1.558634 3.973232 9.035732 18.462897 34.144205 60.732023
2026-05-31 0.434863 1.489219 3.914250 9.106709 18.930022 35.467753 63.780110
2026-06-07 0.391766 1.410176 3.826126 9.112571 19.276803 36.598727 66.545226
2026-06-14 0.370401 1.387418 3.859835 9.362567 20.076632 38.508901 70.616130
2026-06-21 0.346569 1.353621 3.865030 9.553524 20.773228 40.262521 74.472407